World Factory Causes Environmental Pollution, Printing And Dyeing Industry Should Pay Attention To Green Environmental Protection.

After entering the winter, the number of haze days in the whole country increased significantly, and the public complained about it. Many people took out local officials who had seen the newspapers.

The promise to blame local governments for not fulfilling their promises.

In today's Internet age, "not letting air pollution enter into twenty-first Century" and "treating pollution not to mention pollution" are not only wiped out, but also spread widely.

Well, how many years will it take to manage air pollution? I am not an expert in haze. I just want to figure out the possible duration of air pollution from the perspective of China's economic growth pattern and industrial structure evolution.

According to the data provided by the WHO assessment report, the number of Chinese cities in the 20 most polluted cities in the world has been decreasing over the years, and the number of cities in India is the largest.

India is not a big manufacturing country, but pollution is so serious. This is related to the lack of environmental protection by the government, enterprises and residents.

Perhaps, influenced by traditional culture, when people formulate economic and social development goals, they often want to achieve anything. They are too idealistic, like a Chinese medicine prescription, which is all the same. What is the result? What is the result? When the economy is growing at a high level, there are many problems, such as high debt, rising bad debts, asset bubbles, currency flooding, wealth disparity, environmental pollution and so on.

Therefore, reducing goals may be the prerequisite for achieving goals.

From the perspective of economic growth mode, China is still a typical investment driven economy. Although the growth rate of investment is slowing down, the proportion of total investment in fixed assets to GDP has been rising, and now it has reached 83%.

In 2016, infrastructure investment grew by nearly 20%, and real estate investment growth also rebounded. This means that the scale of production of steel, cement, petrochemical, nonferrous metals and other products is still expanding, and it is very difficult to control environmental pollution.

Taking the data in 2015 as an example, China's cement, coal, crude steel, aluminum and many other commodities account for about 50% of global output or even higher.

From the perspective of industrial structure, the proportion of China's second industry is far more than that of the developed countries, and GDP accounts for 15% of the world's total. This means that China, as the largest country in the world's manufacturing value added, has become a truly world factory, and the export volume of processing trade is the highest in the world.

Therefore, in order to get rid of the pollution predicament, China needs to change its role in the world factory and shift some low-end manufacturing industries overseas.

Since the 60s of last century, some manufacturing industries in Europe and the United States have shifted to Japan, making Japan a big manufacturing country, and environmental pollution, including air pollution, is also very serious. Especially, heavy metal pollution is much more harmful to residents than in China today.

By the 70-80 century, the four small dragons in Asia had become the undertaking of global manufacturing pfer.

Since 90s, the scale of foreign investment in China has been increasing. It has become the place to undertake global manufacturing pfer, and the scale of overseas direct investment has reached the highest level in the world.

Can China pfer the middle and low end manufacturing industry to India, Indonesia and other countries as well as developed countries in the last century?

In my view, the global manufacturing shift started in the 60s of last century, from Japan, four dragons to mainland China, and then look back for 10-20 years, it is estimated that it is difficult to move out on a large scale.

Because China is not only the country with the largest number of labor force in the world, but also the country with the most complete infrastructure, the most complete industrial support and the largest market capacity.

India, Indonesia, Pakistan and other populous countries will not have the ability to undertake large-scale manufacturing industry pfer in China in the next ten years at least in the next few years. Although these countries have the advantage of low labor cost, they still have a large gap compared with the comprehensive advantages of China's manufacturing industry.

Since China's status as the world's factory will last for ten or twenty years, it means that environmental pollution control is a long-term and arduous task.

The industrial structure of the developed countries determines that their air quality must be very good, not only because the proportion of the second industry does not exceed 30%, for example, the United States is less than 20%, and because the second industry has a high proportion of low polluting high-end manufacturing.

Even in developing countries, the proportion of the second industry accounts for only about 30%, and the volume of the economy itself is not large, so the problem of environmental pollution is not as prominent as China.

To put it plainly, there is a great correlation between the degree of environmental pollution and the per capita GDP level and the growth rate. The environmental pollution of low income countries is not serious because the industry is not developed, and the high income countries are due to the higher pursuit of the quality of life of residents, and the high polluting industries have long been pferred.

China is a middle and high income country with high growth. The low-income group still striving for a well-off society and still can not care about environmental protection. However, the middle class has awakened and has begun to pay attention to the harm of environmental pollution to itself.

But with the rapid growth of the economy, the source of pollution will at least maintain a moderate growth rate. This is the fundamental reason why the air pollution problem lingers.

When people have accused government officials of failing to fulfill their commitments in environmental pollution, have they ever thought about the relationship between pollution and economic growth, the relationship between pollution and consumption patterns and changes in investment patterns? As in the 80s of last century, people condemned the phenomenon of deforestation. It seems that the word "illegal logging" has rarely been heard in recent years, because deforestation generally has three purposes: wood processing, fuel and increasing farmland.

Today, the substitution of wood is greatly increased. Coal or gas instead of wood as fuel, grain can be imported in large quantities, and no more farmland is needed.

But because coal is the most important fuel in China, such as power generation is mainly coal, a lot of industrial production is also coal, and the United States used to use oil as fuel, and the oil pollution is much less than that of coal.

Even with the use of oil as fuel, there is also a high sulfur content in China's oil products. According to statistics, as of 2014, three of the 135 cities in the country (three times the sulfur content in Europe and the United States) and the following standard fuel cities accounted for 46%.

In general, the sulfur content of fuel in most cities in the country is 10 years ago in Europe and America.

In 2016, under the stimulation of half a levy on vehicle purchase tax on small displacement vehicles, it was estimated that the total sales volume of vehicles exceeded 27 million, and the two digit growth appeared again. This is a good thing for stimulating consumption and steady growth, but it is not a good thing for air quality.

According to this trend, the annual sales of Chinese cars will quickly break through 30 million vehicles, entering the phase of the popularization of urban and rural cars, like the past color TV.

This means that there will be more and more pollution sources in the future.

In 2016, in order to maintain steady growth, it also adopted measures to reduce the down payment ratio of the purchase of houses. This also led to a record high sales area of commercial housing in 2016. At the same time, the scale of infrastructure investment was also very huge, making inventory of steel, cement and other commodities declined sharply, and prices rebounded, but the pollution problem became more severe.

Looking forward to the next four years, the general keynote of steady growth for the sake of a well-off society will not change. Does this mean that the proactive fiscal policy will become more active and monetary policy dare not tighten up?

Therefore, it is very important for us to take high growth as the goal and what measures we should take to achieve this goal. In fact, steady growth should not be taken as the ultimate goal. Only one goal is to improve the quality of life of the common people and to common prosperity. However, alienation often occurs in the process of execution, that is, in order to achieve the goal of growth, we will forget what the goal is at all costs.

Someone collated the statistical data of the US embassy in Beijing, and found that since 2008, the concentration of PM2.5% in Beijing has been declining, such as the number of days PM2.5 exceeds 100, from 66% in 2008 to 51% in 2016, which means that increasing investment in environmental protection is still effective. After 8 years, with the rise of GDP, the sources of pollution are still increasing.

Recently, people feel that the pollution of Beijing is even more serious because the heavy pollution days in December 2016 are more than in previous years.

Compared to Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou.

The effect of improvement is more obvious.

Some goals are too high to be achieved; when I was in primary school, the government proposed to achieve the national agricultural mechanization by 1980. When I was in high school, the government proposed to realize the four modernizations by 2000. In fact, the two objectives have not yet been fully realized.

At some time, many objectives must be achieved at the same time, and many objectives are contradictory, the molecules and denominator are entangled, and the final outcome is difficult to achieve; for example, exchange rate stability and currency excess are contradictory, but the reason for the excessive currency is also related to the economic growth target. Therefore, the two objectives of stable exchange rate and steady growth seem difficult to achieve simultaneously.

{page_break}

Now it seems that the whole country has abhorred air pollution. Against this background, is fog and haze more important than steady growth? Now that we advocate precise poverty alleviation, that is, if we want to spend money on the blade, can we also advocate "haze"?

What is the goal? Not to build up the GDP growth target, to increase the growth rate of infrastructure investment, but to focus on improving social welfare.

For example, the number of cars per kilometre per kilometre in China is only a little more than half of that in the United States, which indicates that China's highway construction is ahead of schedule.

In fact, the investment in many infrastructure projects is greatly ahead. Because unlike the US, many investment projects do not need to be approved by the NPC. This is not only the promotion of economic efficiency but also the mismatch and waste of social resources.

It is better to use these investment expenditures purely for GDP to increase social welfare, which can improve the quality of life of ordinary people and reduce environmental pollution.

For local governments, too many targets are placed above, and they will be confused at the same time. In the end, they will not be able to falsify data.

Especially in environmental pollution control, because environmental protection is a binding index, there is a motive for fraud.

Therefore, reducing goals or setting goals more realistic and rational is beneficial to the realization of goals.

As early as in 2008, the goal of building an international financial center was completely defined as: by 2020, Shanghai will be built as an international financial center that is compatible with China's economic strength and the international status of the renminbi. That is to say, if the internationalization of RMB is not achieved, then the international financial center will probably not be built up in Shanghai.

Now, it seems that the internationalization of RMB is also a long way to go. Shanghai assumed a very high level of assumptions for the target.

Losangeles was a very polluted city in the 40s of last century. But on the issue of pollution prevention legislation, the game between different interest groups lasted for 27 years. From 1943, there was a serious fog and haze. By 1970, the clean air act was introduced, and then the number of days in 1999 was reduced to zero. It took 56 years to get out of the haze.

Similarly, when China can get out of haze, it depends on how the economic growth pattern and the existing industrial structure can be changed. It depends on the progress of the environmental legislation and the effect of law enforcement. If the status quo can not be changed, the big problem of environmental pollution will be dragged down.

For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats net report.