Old AI Kan Shares: Interpretation Of The 4000 Point

Today Ai Ai return is just a special day. The Shanghai stock index once rushed to 4000 points. Although it failed to stop effectively, its significance was very significant, starting from 2000 in July last year, and now it is just doubled. The A share's arrogant spirit is soaring.

Now we are most concerned about the 4000 point is the new starting point, or the end of this market.

Lao AI did not say it very complicated, only from three aspects:

1, capital: if the bull market was initiated by the good anticipation of the economy and policy, the current soaring market is not much related to the fundamentals. It is purely driven by capital, especially when the money effect is stimulated. Today, breaking through the 4000 point successfully will become a hot topic of media coverage and will stimulate more people to enter the market. This is the most important factor to continue to drive the market.

2, psychology: stock speculation is psychological warfare. The stock market is to make all impossible impossible. The bear market will fall behind any supporting position and let the last person leave the market and usher in the bull market. and bull market It will break through every integer pass, attract the last person to rush into the stock market, and then usher in a bear market. At present, it has only risen to 4000 points, and the 6000 point is the point that everyone is very concerned about, because that is the climax of the last big bull market, which gives the main body the space to expand continuously.

3, disk: Today 28 differentiation Obviously, the growth enterprise market plummeted, and led the Shanghai stock index to the 4000 point is the blue chips represented by finance. After small cap stocks have increased substantially, blue chip stocks are clearly required to fill up demand, as long as blue chips are in demand. Rising market It is no problem that we can continue to expand the space above 4000 points.

Finally, make a conjecture: will the 4000 point be the same as the 3400 point in January, the three breakthrough, but it can not effectively stop. After the callback is needed, can we finally break through?

It is possible, but not absolutely. The last time it rose for half a year, from 2000 to 3400, plus the turning point of "1.19" bad luck and usher in the Spring Festival, the market needs to rest.

The current round of rise started before and after the Spring Festival. The increase was less than 1000 points, and the time was only two months.

But the 4000 point is still a higher point. In addition, the 30 companies, which were approved by the SFC last week, will soon be crowded with IPO, which will lead to diversion of funds. And a quarterly report will soon be announced. If growth does not keep up with the price increase, it may also be a drag on the market.

But Lao AI's view remains unchanged, even if the adjustment does not affect the trend of continuing to rise, nor does it mean clearing out the stock market. It is still a strategy to abide by the principle of "firm shareholding and not toss up". The callback is not horrible, but a chance to re-enter. Lao AI's view has been proved to be correct repeatedly, and I believe it will continue to be effective.