Fur Market Is Rising And Falling.

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< p > a few days ago, a survey about "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp "fur" /a "sales giant" -- the investigation of Hebei fur market price plummeted aroused the industry's attention.

What makes the past "prosperity" in vain, let the former "profit" into a continuous loss? Xiaobian made a survey of several representative a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > fur market < /a > in Hebei, Zhejiang and Shandong.

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< p > < strong > different varieties show up and down each other, the raccoon skin leads the decline < /strong > < /p >

< p > according to the survey, from September 2012, with the vigorous demand at home and abroad, the < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > fur price < /a > began to rise continuously until the beginning of 2013.

Businessmen reflect that profits are still profitable at the beginning of this year, and sales are fairly good. The first quarter shows signs of loosening, and prices of all kinds of fur begin to slow down.

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< p > from the market price observation, the raccoon skin in 2013 in January was more than 1000 yuan, fell in the middle of the thousand in the month, July Tangshan < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > raccoon skin < /a > 920 yuan / Zhang, December price fell to 420 yuan / Zhang, compared with the beginning of the year fell 70%, the annual decline of 600 yuan or more is a big surprise, become the leading species of the fur crash.

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< p > < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > mink price < /a > the change is relatively small, the annual decline of about 80-150 yuan / Zhang, the current price maintained at 260-290 yuan / Zhang, Dalian 390 yuan / Zhang, nearly two or three months stable trend is obvious.

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< p > > a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > Rex rabbit skin > /a > the price at the end of the year is basically the same as at the beginning of the year, maintaining at around 50-55 yuan / Zhang.

In July 2013, it rose to 70-90 yuan / Zhang, and the Hebei grand camp was priced at 110 yuan / Zhang.

From Zhejiang Chong Fu fur management business, we know that the winter production of < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > rabbit skin > /a > plush is rich, the quality of the board is good, and it is gaining momentum. At the same time, it has low cost compared with finished products made from mink, raccoon skin and fox skin, and has an advantage in price, which is favored by consumers.

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< p > < strong > demand is low and price uplink is insufficient. < /strong > < /p >

< p > demand and price are the invariable basic relations in economics.

The principle of price slump due to shrinking demand is a commonplace, but it is also inevitably reflected in the "Waterloo campaign" of the fur market in Hebei.

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< p > according to past practice, the temperature began to decrease obviously from the end of November, resulting in the increase of the strength of the downstream factories such as winter clothing and shoemaking, and the number of orders increased significantly.

But in the winter of 2013, "how late is it?"

According to foreign media reports, last November was the highest temperature in January in 134 years, so the impact of "super warm winter" on fur market should not be underestimated.

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"P > warm winter phenomenon directly affects the fur market demand, and the downstream orders are reduced. Reporters learned from Shandong fur traders that the downstream processing orders decreased by about 30%-45% this year, and the stock market accumulated.

Pressing goods not only impeded the rise of fur market prices, but also made a heavy burden on capital.

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< p > a Hebei Shang Village operator told reporters that the market demand continued to be poor, which seriously depressed the confidence of businessmen in the market and increased panic. Reducing prices and dumping goods became a helpless and inevitable choice, and the operation of the market was caught in a "vicious circle".

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In the consumer oriented industry, the purchasing power and purchasing intention of consumers are about the trend of the industry, while the price of the industrial peak and trough is the price. The fur industry is a dilemma in the whole industry chain. P

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< p > in the second half of 2012, fur prices rose, which directly contributed to the sharp increase in the cost of downstream products and the sharp rise in prices. Consumer groups turned to wait and see, which affected the overall effectiveness of clothing and shoe processing plants. The downstream manufacturers, which were defeated by high costs, chose to reduce production volume to avoid risks, and raw material procurement became more cautious. "How much to use" became the mainstream voice in the industry.

Under the conduction effect of the industrial chain, the fur industry in the upstream has become the first hit area. Although the price of finished products can still be high, the raw material chain of fur industry has long been unable to sustain.

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< p > < strong > export situation is not optimistic. Foreign trade orders decrease less than /strong > /p >

< p > in recent years, the policy of raising the export rebate rate of fur products has stimulated the market to a certain extent. However, in the context of the overall weakness of the global economic environment, coupled with the depression of the peripheral market, it is also an indisputable fact that the demand is not good enough.

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< p > < < a href= > http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp > > leather production > /a > Import and export power. Russia, Denmark, the United States, Finland and Turkey are important countries of fur import and export in China. Their digestion capacity of fur products has a direct impact on China's export situation.

According to the statistics of China Federation of light industry, from January 2013 to November, the national fur garment processing industry achieved a total export delivery value of 3 billion 988 million yuan, an increase of -0.01% compared with the same period last year. The national fur tanning processing industry has achieved an export delivery value of 1 billion 126 million 891 thousand yuan, an increase of -21.96% over the same period last year.

The export value of fur products and fur garments is in a marked decline.

In addition, based on China's current import and export situation, Zhang Shuhua, honorary president of the China Leather Association, said at the third national fur industry joint conference and the China Leather Association fur Specialized Committee 2013 annual meeting: exports continued to decline, the domestic market needs to be developed in many directions, and fur clothing market supported by two or three line cities has been saturated.

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< p > another worrying situation is that the domestic "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp "fur production" /a "is still difficult to get rid of the extensive and low value-added development strategy. The production environment, product quality and key technologies are difficult to meet the demand, plus some negative news from time to time. For example, the video of Rex Rabbit's cruelty peeling on the Internet, the serious pollution of some tanneries in China, and so on, combined with the negative public relations ability, it is difficult to effectively control the reputation risk, resulting in the damage of the external image of the product.

In addition, under the control of the theory of immature industry protection, it is reasonable for countries to choose to support their own industries in the predicament. The trade space of fur export has been squeezed to a certain extent. As the leading market of domestic fur export, the impact of Hebei market is undoubtedly the most serious.

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< p > < strong > raising quantity increased. Market supply of fur is not small. < /strong > < /p >

< p > reporters learned that the price increase was stimulated in the second half of 2012, and the phenomenon of expanding the market group was obvious in 2013, and the consequences of disorderly development initially appeared.

Zhang Shuhua said at the third national fur industry joint conference and the China Leather Association fur Specialized Committee 2013 annual meeting: "in 2012, the seed rate of breeding animals increased by 30% compared with 2011, while in 2013 it increased by more than 40% over 2012."

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At the same time, Zhang Shuhua also said at the conference that in the past two years, the professional market of fur terminal has mushroomed, and there are more than 1000 people in the country. Moreover, under the pulling of commercial real estate, the trend of social capital flows to aquaculture is increasing. "P" is also booming.

She reminded enterprises in the past two years that the development of aquaculture and terminal professional market has entered a blind development from rapid development. The trend of oversupply is obvious, and the profits of fur industry have declined significantly.

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< p > with increasing capacity and output, the market supply of fur has increased.

According to Shandong Wendeng fur merchants, this year there are more than a dozen local farms, estimated that their fur production accounts for about 45% of the market.

At the same time, with the continuous emergence of new leather, the market volume is increasing. Under the influence of market demand, the market price is going down.

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In the light of P, the market price of fur in 2013 is not an accident, but a hidden danger long ago.

Follow the trend, blindly expand the culture, the digestion capacity of the downstream is limited, the situation of oversupply will suppress the price of fur.

At present, the backlog of market fur is different. In Hebei, a large merchant in Hebei said that stocks were generally not strong enough to continue to fall in price, while Hebei's Shang Village one fur business operator said that they had a lot of pressure on goods, and the mentality of selling goods was heavy. The Wendeng fur operators said that there was not much quantity of market flowing fur, but their confidence in the market was not enough, and they were slightly lower.

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< p > because of the Spring Festival, the fur market is light, and it is more common to have no price. Some businesses have chosen to leave the market, which indicates that there is little hope for the future market.

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