Gao Yong, Party Secretary And Secretary General Of China Textile Industry Federation: New Year!

The past 2019 was the 70th anniversary year of the founding of new China and the key year for building a well-off society in an all-round way. This year, under the complex situation of increasing risks and challenges at home and abroad, the whole industry worked hard and maintained a steady development trend as a whole.

Today, we usher in a new 2020. The year 2020 marks the end of the building of a well off society and the "13th Five-Year" plan. The textile industry, as an important part of the national economy, shoulders the bounden duty of glory.

At the beginning of the new year, Gao Yong, secretary and Secretary General of the China Textile Industry Federation, addressed the new year with an authoritative perspective, looking forward to the trend of domestic and international trends in 2020 and the goal of the industry, so as to point out the direction for the new year.

2019 is the 70th anniversary year of the founding of new China and the key year for building a well-off society in an all-round way. In 2020, we will usher in the goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way and ending the 13th Five-Year plan. In the past year, under the complex situation of increased risks and challenges at home and abroad, and the downward pressure of textile industry, the industry has been striving hard to maintain steady development.

From the perspective of international trade, 2019 is the most dramatic year, with the biggest change. Trade negotiations between China and the United States are fluctuating and trade policies are constantly changing, causing export data to fluctuate. 2019 is the fourth year of 13th Five-Year, and the textile industry has been growing at a low speed for four consecutive years. Due to the continuous improvement of industrial concentration in the chemical fiber industry, most of the leading enterprises in the industry have performed well. Especially the output of polyester filament, nylon filament and viscose staple fiber has maintained a relatively high growth. The new solvent method has made breakthrough in the localization of cellulose fiber and has been increasing in scale. The industry textile industry continues to keep pace with the growth rate of other industries. The global fiber processing volume has maintained a growth rate of about 3%. In the past two years, the growth of China's fiber processing volume has begun to fall below 3%, showing a low growth trend.

On the whole, the pace of structural adjustment has been quickening in the development of industries. First, the adjustment of industrial structure has been speeded up. The two is the acceleration of product structure adjustment, and the development of new fibers has become a bright spot. For example, carbon fiber T700 and T800 have achieved mass production, and T1000 has also achieved breakthroughs. Weihai development and Zhongfu Eagle have been put into operation to build 10000 ton carbon fiber production base. Three, the regional structural adjustment is speeding up. With the implementation of the "one belt and one way" construction, the textile industry "going out" has accelerated the pace of active layout in the international market, and the domestic capacity has shifted to the central and western regions. The development of Henan's "clever daughter-in-law" project is hot. Shaanxi's "three Qin Qiaoxi" has begun to layout, and the textile industry in Yunnan, Guangxi, Jiangxi and Ningxia has been helping the poor and precisely helping the poor in the ascendant.

The decline of traditional clothing exports and the slow growth of domestic market sales will inevitably affect the spinning and weaving of the upper reaches of the industrial chain. Influenced by cost factors, the export garment orders are transferred to overseas low-cost areas, while the printed dyed fabrics keep growing. This structural adjustment is normal. The future of new fibers and high-grade fabrics will further expand the international space. Therefore, we can not draw the conclusion that the industry is not good because of the slow growth of the industry. We should see that the structural adjustment of the industry is speeding up.

In recent years, the foreign investment of China's textile industry has been accelerating in a multi regional, multi industry and multi form manner, and the awareness of textile backbone enterprises to actively carry out international layout has been constantly enhanced. According to incomplete statistics, the foreign investment stock of China's textile industry is more than 10 billion US dollars at present, and the actual amount is more. It should be noted that the overseas layout of textile industry is an inevitable trend of industrial development, but the investment amount of tens of billions of dollars is not large relative to the scale of China's textile industry. A large number of production capacity still needs to meet domestic demand. Therefore, industrial transfer should be transferred from developed areas to the central and western regions, which is determined by the unbalanced development of China's regional development.

In 2020, it will usher in the year of textile "13th Five-Year" and the construction of a strong textile nation. Facing the uncertainty of domestic and international situation, the industry will still maintain steady development, showing a slow growth trend, perhaps more difficult than 2019. This requires the industry to continue to increase structural readjustment in accordance with the requirements of "technology, fashion and green" positioning.

At present, the China Federation of textile industry is already preparing for the 14th Five-Year plan. The analysis of the trend should focus on the reflection of the two markets. One is the international market. Since the reform and opening up in 1978, the export of China's textile industry has increased. After joining the WTO in 2011, exports showed a leaping development. To four or five years ago, export growth declined, but negative growth began in recent years. However, from the perspective of global textile and apparel demand in the past forty years, it has maintained an increase of around 3%. In the past, more than ten percent of China's growth was our share of other countries. Now, Southeast Asian countries, African countries and South Asian countries, including Vietnam, India and Bangladesh, have begun to gradually occupy China's market share in the United States, Japan and Europe. The current international market change is the role of economic laws and the market itself. Sino US trade friction is only an incentive. From the decline of China's export market, our exports to the United States are less than that of the European Union and Japan.

In view of the domestic market, the total retail sales of social consumer goods in China during the period of "fifteen" and "11th Five-Year" increased by more than 15% per year. In 12th Five-Year, it exceeded 9%, reaching a minimum of 5.8% per annum in 13th Five-Year, and a 8% increase under the promotion of national policies. But the growth of textiles and clothing was only 3%, and it benefited from the growth of net sales of 21%. For domestic market consumption, industry enterprises also need to analyze calmly, and need to have a clear understanding of different stages of social development. At present, the social economy has reached a new level. Over 1 billion 400 million of the Chinese population has reached the middle level of consumption, of which 150 million have reached the level of consumption in developed countries, and consumption demand has changed significantly. The rest of the low-income groups theoretically have huge market demand in the future, but how to improve the consumption ability of these groups faster is an important topic in the future.

The central economic work conference held recently proposed that we should make steady growth, promote reform, adjust the structure, improve people's livelihood, prevent risks and maintain stability in 2020. In particular, we should "improve the property rights system and market allocation of factors, improve the legal environment to support the development of private economy, and improve the policy system for the development of SMEs". The central government also issued documents to support the reform and development of private enterprises, and put forward a series of weighty policies and measures to create a better development environment for private enterprises. This series of measures has made positive contributions to the development of the industry, and has also increased confidence in our work in 2020.

The outline of building a textile power (2011-2020 years) and the textile industry "13th Five-Year" development plan mentioned that we plan to build a strong textile power by 2020. At present, apart from some indicators lagging behind the world's advanced level, most of the indicators are close to or even ahead of the world's advanced level. China's textile manufacturing power has been established. Facing the coming "14th Five-Year", the industry will realize the high quality development of the textile industry in the new historical condition, new era and new development stage.